News & Insights

News & Insights

BOOK: JOE PUBLIC 2030

Predict-O-Meter

Joe Public 2030 makes five bold predictions about the future, which range from exciting and promising to ominous and discouraging. Through the Predict-O-Meter, we’ll continuously assess the state of the healthcare industry to track the accuracy of the five predictions.

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Needle
Utterly WrongNailed it

The Copernican Consumer

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Utterly WrongNailed it

Constricted Consumerism

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Utterly WrongNailed it

The Funnel Wars

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Utterly WrongNailed it

Rise of Health Sects

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Utterly WrongNailed it

Disparity Dystopia

Five Potent Predictions Reshaping How Consumers Engage Healthcare

FALL 2023 UPDATE

What influenced our latest rating?

Our update is an “all-insurer” special, and for good reason. Despite the fact that Americans are paying more for their healthcare than in any other advanced nation, the cost keeps rising. Even with record profits in recent years, the large insurers are pushing some of the highest premium increases in years. This at the same time as more evidence emerges of unethical or illegal insurance practices. ProPublica issued a series on illegal denial of claims that has gone on for years, and both UnitedHealthcare and Cigna have been accused of using AI to wrongfully deny claims. On top of it all, there were reports that Humana and Cigna were in merger talks, a deal that would have resulted in creating a healthcare behemoth close in size to UnitedHealthcare or CVS/Aetna, according to industry expert Wendell Potter. (The deal has apparently been called off, but we shall see.)

Relevant News

ORIGINAL PREDICTION

While consumers will become increasingly responsible for their own health and use of healthcare services, they will actually become less and less empowered in the choices they have for care, especially in higher-acuity, higher-cost situations. While many in the industry will continue to sing the praises of choice, the reality is most consumers will have far fewer choices moving forward, often in ways they might never ever consider or see.